Tuesday, 21 October 2014

Wow... MARCH?

I've been letting this old blog slide into the quagmire of the many dead SL blogs out there...

Time i actually spent time blogging!

Heres something I've just finished... Ravenscroft Restaurant in Alpine Meadow...


Wednesday, 5 March 2014

SL Onlive

So...

Today Plurk and Twitter is all a frenzy about the "Big Announcement" by the Linden Lab that Second Life is now available for mobile platforms!

YAY!... actually... hold on a minute...

http://www.lumiyaviewer.com/

1: OnLive is cloud service, meaming it renders Second Life in their own servers and streams that render to your phone, which means your phone (or other mobile device) will actually get a very nice looking render of SL.

2: You need a substantial internet connection for OnLive to stream anything worth a damn.

3: You have that internet connection?  Then you probably have an actual decent computer that will actually run SL anyway.

4: Lumiya is free, OnLive isnt.

Not only does Lumiya work on Android phones, unlike the offering from Linden Lab/Onlive, Lumiya is actually free.  The Onlive offering from Linden Lab is a "pay to play" service.

Case closed...

Tuesday, 21 January 2014

The Perfect Storm...

In September of 2013 I wrote this...
What will, and to a certain extent is happening now is the shedding of dead wood. The first to feel it will be the regions, by this time next year i predict we will be down to only two Dr Who regions in SL. The smaller companies selling items to do with Dr Who will start to feel the pinch by January/February of next year, because Jan and Feb is the traditional months when folks don't have a lot of spare cash (due to christmas). Next year Jan and Feb will more than likely kill off smaller Dr Who selling companies in SL as there is now realistically speaking no fresh blood coming in. The well has essentially dried up, and that wall is getting closer as the community trundles along in the cart.
A few days later in September of 2013 i followed up with this...
The Doctor Who Expo (Eutopia) closes this weekend. Now read the blog post below this one. Next to close will be several of the smaller Dr Who based sellers, 1 TARDIS maker (at least one... maybe two) and one other sim will go...all within 6 months.
Notice i mentioned "within 6 months" and "January/February" in both of the above posts? About 2 weeks ago, i heard from Judy of Olyesti that she was going to close down Olyesti. 2 days later in the same week I heard from Sen that Oolon is giving up New Gallifrey.

 As I said, January and February are the two toughest times of the year when it comes to people spending cash within Second Life. One TARDIS maker has vanished off the grid since the launch of his products and several other content creators for the Doctor Who community have not been seen since November of 2013. I hate to say this.. but to all the folks out there who INSIST on using rose tinted glasses to look at the Dr Who community... I...WAS...RIGHT.

 Even down to which months it would happen, even down to how many regions would have been left if New Gallifrey and Olyesti did go, and even down to the shedding of content creators within the community. In that same blog post i wrote this...
Once it does hit that wall, and the dead wood is shaken off, we will see what will remain of the actual real Dr Who community in SL. That will give folks a new base to work on to re-market the Dr Who community, but it sure as hell wont be me.
What we seen in January of this year was a Perfect Storm in the whovian circles within Second Life. The Prefect Storm was topped off by one man... Mr Peter Capaldi. The fact that a much older actor is coming in to play the role has seen a VAST amount of would-be Dr Who fans leave the show as fans, to be replaced with older fans who stopped watching the show when Tennant came in.

 Folks like Steve Coogan (well known comedian in the UK) said it best "Now the show will probably return to a slightly more gritty classic feel... I think I will start watching again". The same sentiments have been heard across the board. Old fans of the show now thinking of coming back since the arrival of Capaldi who will be playing an older Doctor. The main Doctor Who group has seen the effect of this within Second Life as well. A vast amount of "thedoctor9348239" or "doctor09438923" newbies have not logged in since the announcement of Capaldi as the new actor. The remainders of those who still logged in, have virtually stopped logging in after the Christmas Special when Matt Smith said his goodbyes. Those underage fans who came in their droves into SL, begging for freebies, will now slowly be replaced by old time Doctor Who fans in SL, the folks who have not logged in for a long, long time. I've already started seeing some of those old names popping up and seeing a VASTLY different landscape in the Doctor Who community from what they remember when they stopped being a part of the community several years ago.

The Doctor Who community in SL is now in the process of having its reset button hit. The highlight of all this is what happened to Olyesti and New Gallifrey. They both came VERY close to closing. However, Judy has a new co-owner in Olyesti (no its not me) and has also agreed to take over the running of New Gallifrey. New Gally has moved next door to Olyesti so for the first time there is now three Doctor Who community regions sitting next to each other... ...and that's the base to work off of now.

I said I wouldn't start marketing again, and I wont. However I am going to give several Dr Who fan sites a poke and ask them to have a look in at the changes going on. One of the reasons its a bad time to market is simple...things are still in flux, nothing has been set in stone yet, but the peices are starting to slowly come together.

Doctor Who Community in SL has now grown up.

Tuesday, 5 November 2013

The Tuscan Order

So, i decided i needed a new place for a holiday home. I already rent a large plot of mainland from Prokofy Neva, but i needed a place thats actually got a "home" sitting on the ground. Here's the Tuscan Order....
I decided to rent a chunk of land in Locus Amoenus, which is one of the regions thats part of the Confederation of Democratic Simulators, CDS for short. A nice little holiday home to get away from.. well...everything :D

Tuesday, 22 October 2013

Im on buzzfeed :D

Just found out a few minutes ago that one of my TARDIS modjob's made it into a top 15 list on Buzzfeed :D

http://www.buzzfeed.com/paulaersly/tardis-interiors-you-wish-were-real

It's no.9 on the list.  I think though they didnt realise that mine was actually useable, at least in Second Life.  For the folks popping over from Buzzfeed, take a look at the video below, it shows one of the "canon" consoles (Jon Pertwee era) in use within Second Life.  The console picured on buzzfeed basically works the same way :)


Monday, 14 October 2013

Second Life's Irreversible Downturn

In 2007, warning signs was seen of an impending major problem with the banking indistry due to unsafe mortgages starting to pile up.

In 2008... the whole system crashed.

The effects of that crash are still being felt to this day in the real world, real wages are not rising, prices of certain things are at an all time high, the banks sucked up vast amounts of tax payers money to keep them afloat, the world, in many ways, became a little bit more darker.

Everyone, everywhere felt this.  The gaming industry was hit (over 40 game design studios closed in 2008/9), the entertainment industry in general felt the hit.  However, Second Life didn't.

Folks tightened up their belts, they didn't go on those planned vacations, they cut back on the more extravagant luxuries and spent more time socializing on sites like facebook.  It was no surprise that facebooks meteoric rise to fame kicked in during 2008.  It was 2008 which made the Internet as a whole the last bastion of a "Vacation Place" for folks who tightened their belts.

2008, 2009 and 2010 seen a rise in the amount of regions being bought within Second Life, it was almost as if a second wind had caught up with SL as more and more people signed up.  The 2008 generation hit SL.  I'm one of those hundreds of thousands of people in Second Life who made their account in 2008.  Either just before, or very soon after the news of that crash became public.  I'm one of the many, who came to Second Life because real life money was becoming tight, I'm one of the many who used Second Life as my real world "Vacation Spot".

For several years, 2008 to the beginning of 2011, Second Life seen a massive rise in income.  Many people decided to buy a region, or spend small amounts of money on a regular basis in world.  It's the reason the 2008 crash never affected SL.

I want to direct people to this thread in the SL Universe Forum... http://www.sluniverse.com/php/vb/virtual-business/8523-new-sl-sims-past-week.html

It's a forum thread crated by Tyche Shepherd.  Tyche has been running that thread since 2008, roughly every 2 weeks a post is made showing new regions that have shown up on the grid.  Its is now into a multitude of pages but you can see the rough pattern.  From 2008 to 2010... SL was continuously growing.

From roughly the end of 2011... SL has been CONTINUOUSLY on a downturn.

What has been causing this?

Well... many things.  The main one being that the effects of the 2008 crash have started to ease.  Some folks are finding they can go on those vacations, that they can spend a little bit more on those luxuries, that they can ditch SL and go to RL stuff.  It's also got a lot to do with other sections of the SL userbase now struggling with keeping up payments on their region they got in 2008/9.  The prices of the regions in Second Life has kept at the same rate of 295 USD a month INCLUDING a 1000USD "set up fee".

This worked in 2008/9.  People at that time was willing to pay, they didn't go on vacation, they sppent more time at their home, they wanted to spend money a bit more wisely due to the economic downturn that was going on.  The downturn shattered Europe, places like Greece and Italy found themselves up to their necks in debt and the government struggled to keep above water... heck Greece is still struggling now.  The countries which rely on tourism to bring in fresh money is still suffering to this day because people are not willing to risk their safety to go on vacation to a country which may implode any day.

That's why in 2008/9 SL seen a massive boom in land sales...and that's why SL is now seeing the delayed effect of that 2008 economic crash.

If you go to about page 52 of that thread you will land in the middle of 2011.  Tracking that thread onwards from that date you will see the steady decline of 2011, turning into the full out crash which has been happening since 2012 and is continuing to this day.  Linden Lab has been continuously losing an average of 30 regions per week, consistently since the beginning of 2012.

At its peak, Linden Lab had roughly 32000 regions on the grid, a mix of Mainland, Private Estates and Homesteads.  That number is now down to roughly 26000.  That loss of 7000 regions has all happened since the back end of 2011, has continued through 2012 and is still going on now.

Second Life is now in an irreversible downturn, it will continue to be in a downturn for as long as Linden Lab continue to ignore its user base, continue to bury its head in the sand to the lack of consumer care, lack of customer support and lack of any real future plans.

Linden Lab has lost its way...actually it can be argued that they never had a path to follow from the beginning.  The Lab as a company has been blindly stumbling around for the past 10 years with no clue as to what they are doing or what they can potentially do.

I remember back when Rod Humble was made CEO of Linden Lab, I thought to myself "Now the lab will get direction".  Instead Rod Humble is the FIRST CEO of Linden Lab to oversee a continued, unhalting downturn of regions.  To give you folks a monetary value.. 7000 regions at 295 USD a month comes to a monthly loss of just over two million US dollars.

Why is Rod Humble still the CEO?  Why has Rod not taken the bull by the horn and force Linden Lab to actually do the one thing which the Lab has never been able to do for the past 10 years...

WHY HASN'T ROD HUMBLE ACTIVELY MARKETED AND ADVERTISED SECOND LIFE IN A MEANINGFUL WAY?

While SL has been dying, what has Rod and the hapless idiots at the Lab beein doing?  They have been making pointless mobile device games which sell for a week and then drop off into obscurity.  They have been sitting back ignoring the staggering downturn of SL as they CONTINUE to make pointless kiddy games which have shown no sign at all of actually selling for more than a month before dropping off sales charts.  They continue to ignore the SL downturn whilst trying to make a new "cash cow" for Linden Lab.

I honestly believe, and this belief was strengthened after the recent change of the TOS, I honestly believe that Linden Lab will sell off Second Life as a platform to a bigger company by the end of 2014.  I believe that the reason that Rod Humble and the Lab have not been caring about the gradual steep downturn is that they KNOW they will be selling off the platform by the end of next year.

That is the only explanation there possibly can be thjat Rod Humble has been pushing on making these other games for The Lab as an income for the eventual sell off of Second Life as a platform.  If Linden Lab actually CARED about the loss of 7000 regions, if they cared about the loss of TWO MILLION US Dollars a month, they would be doing something right now, they would have started doing something a YEAR ago...

...but they have not.

Linden Lab will sell off Second Life as a platform to another company by the end of 2014.  They are showing the signs of a company who are getting ready to sell of of the platform or at least license the whole thing off to another company.

Tuesday, 8 October 2013

Be vewwy vewwy qwieeeet

Folks have been wondering why I aint been posting much on the blog latley, and been quiet in SL.

It's because i was replacing an old landmark build of New Babbage.

Folks should recognize this...

...its Brunel Hall Hotel in Academy of Industry.  The building itself was getting close to 4 years old and it was starting to show it's age.

So I demolished it and started from scratch.  A purpose built hotel and restaurant... The new Brunel Hall Hotel opened last week.